Global Macro Dashboard

Track inflation, employment, growth, interest rates, central bank policy and global liquidity in one intelligent macro dashboard.

Demo Data — For demonstration purposes only

72%

Current Regime

Disinflationary Slowdown

Confidence Score: 72%

Inflation

Moderating — CPI trending below 3%

Growth

Decelerating — GDP below trend

Employment

Softening — NFP declining, UR rising

Rates

Restrictive — 4.75% with gradual cuts expected

Liquidity

Tightening — QT ongoing, M2 growth slow

Based on a weighted composite of inflation trend (CPI, PCE), growth momentum (GDP, PMI), labor market conditions (NFP, Unemployment), monetary policy stance (Fed Funds, Balance Sheet), and liquidity conditions (M2, RRP). Score ranges: 0-100 per regime.

Last updated: 2025-06-20

Key Indicators

Demo

US CPI

2.9

-0.1% YoY

BLS

Core CPI

3.4

-0.2% YoY

BLS

Fed Funds

4.75

-0.5%

Federal Reserve

10Y Treasury

4.28

-0.07%

US Treasury

Unemployment

+0.1%

BLS

NFP

139

-26K

BLS

GDP Growth

1.3

-0.7% QoQ AR

BEA

Fed Balance Sheet

6.94

-0.08T USD

Federal Reserve

21.3

+0.1T USD

Federal Reserve

VIX

14.2

+0.4

CBOE

DXY

107.5

+0.7

ICE

Inflation

Monthly

Demo

CPI

2.9%

Previous3%MoM+0.10ppConsensus2.9%Surprise0

Next Release: 2025-07-11BLS

Core CPI

3.4%

Previous3.6%MoM+0.20ppConsensus3.5%Surprise-0.1

Next Release: 2025-07-11BLS

PCE

2.5%

Previous2.6%MoM+0.10ppConsensus2.5%Surprise0

Next Release: 2025-07-25BEA

Core PCE

2.8%

Previous2.9%MoM+0.10ppConsensus2.8%Surprise0

Next Release: 2025-07-25BEA

PPI

2.2%

Previous2.4%MoM-0.10ppConsensus2.3%Surprise-0.1

Next Release: 2025-07-11BLS

5Y Breakeven

2.25%

2.3%

↓ 0.05

Source: US Treasury· Updated: 2025-06

10Y Breakeven

2.35%

2.38%

↓ 0.03

Source: US Treasury· Updated: 2025-06

Employment

Monthly

Demo

Nonfarm Payrolls

139K

Forecast

160K

165K

Surprise

-21K

Source: BLSdemo· Updated: 2025-07-04

Unemployment Rate

+0.10BLS

Initial Claims

242K

+4.0DOL

JOLTS

8.06M

-0.13BLS

Avg Hourly Earnings YoY

3.9%

-0.10BLS

Labor Force Participation

62.5%

+0.10BLS

Labor Market Heatmap

Improving Deteriorating Neutral

Growth

Quarterly

Real GDP GrowthFeatured

1.3%QoQ AR

Previous2%Forecast1.5%Change-0.70pp

Source: BEA· Updated: NaN-NaN

Manufacturing PMI

48.7

Contraction-0.50pp

S&P Global

Services PMI

51.2

Expansion+0.40pp

S&P Global

ISM Manufacturing

48.5

-0.50pp

ISM

ISM Services

50.8

-0.50pp

ISM

Retail Sales

0.1%

+0.20pp

Census Bureau

Industrial Production

-0.1%

-0.30pp

Federal Reserve

Central Banks

Policy Rates

🇺🇸

Federal Reserve

United States

Dovish

4.75%

Next Meeting: 2025-07-30

Target Range4.50% - 5.00%

Balance Sheet$6.94T

Next FOMCJul 30

🇪🇺

ECB

Eurozone

Dovish

3.25%

Next Meeting: 2025-07-17

Deposit Facility3.25%

Marginal Lending3.65%

🇬🇧

Bank of England

United Kingdom

Dovish

4.25%

Next Meeting: 2025-08-07

🇯🇵

Bank of Japan

Japan

Hawkish

0.5%

Next Meeting: 2025-07-31

Only Major Hawkish Bank

Global Policy Rates

Central Bank	Country	Policy Rate	Previous	Change	Last Meeting	Next Meeting	Stance
Federal Reserve	🇺🇸United States	4.75%	5.25%	-0.50	2025-06-18	2025-07-30	Dovish
ECB	🇪🇺Eurozone	3.25%	3.5%	-0.25	2025-06-11	2025-07-17	Dovish
Bank of England	🇬🇧United Kingdom	4.25%	4.5%	-0.25	2025-06-19	2025-08-07	Dovish
Bank of Japan	🇯🇵Japan	0.5%	0.25%	+0.25	2025-06-19	2025-07-31	Hawkish
PBoC	🇨🇳China	3.45%	3.45%	0.00	2025-06-20	2025-07-21	Neutral
Bank of Canada	🇨🇦Canada	2.75%	3%	-0.25	2025-06-11	2025-07-16	Dovish
RBA	🇦🇺Australia	3.85%	4.1%	-0.25	2025-06-17	2025-08-05	Dovish
SNB	🇨🇭Switzerland	1.25%	1.5%	-0.25	2025-06-19	2025-09-18	Dovish
CBI	🇮🇷Iran	23%	23%	0.00	2025-05-21	2025-07-16	Neutral

US Treasury Yield Curve

Daily

Demo⚠ Inverted (10Y-2Y)

10Y-2Y Spread

-0.07%

Inverted

10Y-3M Spread

-1.00%

Inverted

30Y-10Y Spread

+0.24%

Normal

Global Liquidity

Weekly

DemoQT Active

Fed Total Assets

$6.96T

-0.02Federal Reserve

M2 Money Supply

$21.45T

+0.07Federal Reserve

Reverse Repo

$309B

-65.9Federal Reserve

Treasury General Account

$559B

+14.4Federal Reserve

Bank Reserves

$2.97T

-0.03Federal Reserve

Fed Balance Sheet Breakdown

Macro × Markets

Cross-Asset

Demo

Normalized to 100

Quick Compare:

Global Macro Heatmap

Score 0-100: Strong (70+) Moderate (40-70) Weak (<40) Improving Deteriorating

🇺🇸US

🇪🇺Eurozone

🇬🇧UK

🇯🇵Japan

🇨🇳China

🇮🇷Iran

Inflation

Employment

Growth

Rates

Liquidity

Macro Correlation Matrix

Correlation:

-1.0

0.0

+1.0

UI only — data stays the same

CPI

PCE

NFP

GDP

Fed Rate

10Y

Fed BS

DXY

Gold

SPX

BTC

Oil

VIX

CPI

1.00

0.95

-0.15

-0.30

0.85

0.72

0.65

0.00

0.40

0.55

-0.35

0.10

0.60

0.20

PCE

0.95

1.00

-0.20

-0.25

0.80

0.70

0.17

0.25

0.15

-0.14

-0.12

0.07

-0.29

-0.16

NFP

-0.15

-0.20

1.00

0.75

-0.30

0.15

0.00

-0.03

-0.08

0.10

-0.27

-0.23

0.11

GDP

-0.30

-0.25

0.75

1.00

-0.45

-0.28

-0.04

-0.12

0.00

-0.06

0.27

-0.30

-0.05

0.10

Fed Rate

0.85

0.80

-0.30

-0.45

1.00

0.82

-0.15

0.18

0.70

-0.55

0.12

-0.19

0.09

0.28

10Y

0.72

0.70

0.15

-0.28

0.82

1.00

0.13

-0.16

0.60

-0.40

0.18

-0.21

-0.27

0.13

0.65

0.17

0.15

-0.04

-0.15

0.13

1.00

0.11

-0.30

0.60

0.55

0.65

0.11

-0.02

Fed BS

0.00

0.25

0.00

-0.12

0.18

-0.16

0.11

1.00

0.24

0.50

0.45

0.55

0.05

0.00

DXY

0.40

0.15

-0.03

0.00

0.70

0.60

-0.30

0.24

1.00

-0.75

0.05

0.03

-0.20

0.07

Gold

0.55

-0.14

-0.08

-0.06

-0.55

-0.40

0.60

0.50

-0.75

1.00

0.25

0.45

0.15

0.28

SPX

-0.35

-0.12

0.10

0.27

0.12

0.18

0.55

0.45

0.05

0.25

1.00

0.50

0.25

-0.02

BTC

0.10

0.07

-0.27

-0.30

-0.19

-0.21

0.65

0.55

0.03

0.45

0.50

1.00

-0.22

-0.04

Oil

0.60

-0.29

-0.23

-0.05

0.09

-0.27

0.11

0.05

-0.20

0.15

0.25

-0.22

1.00

-0.30

VIX

0.20

-0.16

0.11

0.10

0.28

0.13

-0.02

0.00

0.07

0.28

-0.02

-0.04

-0.30

1.00

Economic Calendar

Next 14 Days

Live Demo

DateTime.IndicatorPreviousForecastActual

Tue, Jul 109:45🇺🇸Manufacturing PMI49.249.5—

-ISM Manufacturing49.049.2—

Wed, Jul 208:30🇺🇸Initial Claims242K235K—

Thu, Jul 308:30🇺🇸Nonfarm Payrolls139K150K—

-Unemployment Rate4.0%4.0%—

Tue, Jul 810:00🇺🇸JOLTS Job Openings8.06M7.90M—

Fri, Jul 1108:30🇺🇸CPI YoY2.9%2.8%—

-Core CPI YoY3.4%3.2%—

Thu, Jul 1713:45🇪🇺ECB Policy Rate3.25%3.00%—

Fri, Jul 2508:30🇺🇸PCE Price Index2.5%2.4%—

Wed, Jul 3008:30🇺🇸GDP QoQ AR1.3%1.8%—

-FOMC Decision4.75%4.50%—